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The Gambler’s Fallacy: Why “It’s Due” Is Not Evidence

The Gambler’s Fallacy: Why “It’s Due” Is Not Evidence

by Andrew | Sep 16, 2026 | Mind & Behaviour

Five heads in a row. Surely the next flip has to be tails. It feels reasonable. Balanced, even. As if probability has noticed the uneven score and is about to tidy up. That feeling has a name: the gambler’s fallacy. It is the mistaken belief that a sequence of...
Gambling Psychology: Why a Near Miss Can Feel Like Progress

Gambling Psychology: Why a Near Miss Can Feel Like Progress

by Andrew | Sep 16, 2026 | Mind & Behaviour

You missed. The result is a loss. And yet a small voice says: “That was close.” In many parts of life, close is useful information. A tennis ball landing just outside the line might tell you something about your next shot. A nearly correct answer can reveal a gap in...
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